National Council of Applied Economic Research
This paper contributes to the debate on the relationship between public and private investment in India along the following dimensions. First, acknowledging major structural changes that the Indian economy has undergone in the past three decades, we study whether public investment in recent years has become more or less complementary to private investment in comparison... Read More
We investigate the predictive power of Divisia monetary aggregates in explaining exchange rate variations for India, Israel, Poland, UK and the US, in the years leading up to and following the 2007-08 recessions. One valid concern for the chosen sample period is that the interest rate has been stuck at or near the zero lower... Read More
Lucas (1990) argues that the neoclassical adjustment process fails to explain the relative paucity of FDI inflows from rich to poor countries. In this paper we consider a natural experiment: using China as the treated country and India as the control, we show that the dynamics of the relative FDI flows subsequent to the implementation... Read More
The input–output table for India has been constructed for the year 2013-14 consistent with the National Accounts estimates given in the National Accounts Statistics (NAS) 2015, while the supply use table (SUT) is for the year 2012-13. In order to allow for comparisons with the 2007-08 input-output table, the number of sectors has been kept... Read More
This paper analyzes whether liquidity constraints matter for optimal monetary policy choices in an open economy. Asset market participation is limited as some agents lack financial capacity and behave in a hand-to-mouth fashion. I evaluate consumer welfare using a micro-founded welfare criterion derived through perturbation techniques, and find that the presence of liquidity constraints requires... Read More
Over the last decade, the Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) framework has become a workhorse for macroeconomic analysis in both academic and policy circles. Following this emerging trend, we aim to expand our research capacity in macroeconomics at NCAER by introducing a baseline DSGE model for the Indian economy. This working paper comes out as... Read More
This paper examines the estimation procedure of domestic product for communication sector in India at constant prices. It is observed that the methods used for estimating domestic product at constant prices suffer from serious flaws with respect to communication sector. When corrected by using a simplified method, it is found that the growth in real terms... Read More
In spite of the rising academic attention to path-dependency in social history, when it comes to the history of economic thinking, we seem to be stuck in a Markovian nirvana where debates of the past are forgotten under the onslaught of new ideas. Nowhere is this more evident than in the discourse on demographic dividend... Read More
Cable Services (CS) has characteristics of excludable public goods, which means they have externalities, but with a degree of excludability to those who are not willing to pay its price. The paper analyses choices for CS using household data from small towns of India. The analysis is structured to go beyond affordability issues. The findings... Read More
