Business Confidence Index remain stable in Q3: Economic think tank NCAER

11 Feb 2016
Business Confidence Index remain stable in Q3: Economic think tank NCAER

While sentiments regarding production domestic sales exports imports of raw materials pre-tax profits and costs either have remained the same or have shown marginal improvement during the quarter.

The business sentiment in the country remained largely unchanged growing by just 0.6% during the quarter ended December a survey by economic thinktank NCAER has found.

“NCAER’s Business Confidence Index (BCI) remained relatively unchanged in the third quarter of 2015 16. The 95th round of the Business Expectations Survey (BES) shows that the BCI increased by 0.6% suggesting business sentiments have remained largely unchanged since the last quarter” the survey said.

However the BCI continues to fall on a year-on-year basis (12.2%) it said.

The National Council of Applied Economic Research (NCAER) said the services sector has the highest BCI followed by consumer durables consumer non-durables intermediate goods and capital goods. The BCI of consumer durables sector increased the most (8.3%) while the BCI of the intermediate goods sector declined the most (6.4%) it said.

NCAER survey said there was improvement in the BCI in all expect the private limited companies with public sector firms BCI rising the highest (21.6%). The BCI of the private limited companies has fallen by 4.8% it added.

While sentiments regarding production domestic sales exports imports of raw materials pre-tax profits and costs either have remained the same or have shown marginal improvement during the quarter.

“Significant exception is the consumer nondurables sectors which shows decline in sentiments with regard to production sales exports and profit.” Overall expectations about costs of raw materials labour and electricity remain muted it said adding labour markets show some optimism with expectations regarding employment and wages showing improvement.

Also the survey showed political sentiment remained more or less stable with the Political Confidence Index (PCI) showing a quarter-on-quarter fall of 0.8%.

Published in: DNA , February 11, 2016