With India’s demographic transition, come challenges

1 December, 2021
With India’s demographic transition, come challenges

The demographic dividend is smaller but will last longer due to regional variation in the onset of fertility decline. As southern states struggle with the growing burden of supporting the elderly northern states will supply the workforce needed for growth.

Success brings its challenges. The first challenge is accepting the win the second is to learn to live with it. Recent results from National Family Health Survey-5 (NFHS-5) suggest that we are entering an era where we will have to tackle these challenges. NFHS-5 places the total fertility rate (TFR) at 2.0. With two parents having two children we have reached a replacement level of fertility. Due to many young people the population will continue to grow but the replacement level fertility is a significant milestone in India’s demographic history.

Latest Publications

Op-Eds
01 June 2026

India’s majority of workers don’t have social security. New labour reforms can change that

Farzana Afridi & Jyoti Thakur
Op-Eds
01 June 2026

The next phase of India’s agricultural transformation must be export-oriented, standards-driven, and value-chain centric

Saurabh Bandyopadhyay & Laxmi Joshi
Op-Eds
24 May 2026

Women’s Workforce Gains Need Structural Deepening to Deliver Economic Agency

Ratna Sahay & Aakash Dev

    Get updates from NCAER