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Agricultural Outlook and Situation Analysis Reports: Rabi Outlook Report January 2016

The current outlook for agricultural growth in 2015-16 appears moderate at best at this juncture and is expected to remain similar to the 2014-15 growth rate of 0.2 per cent. The findings of this NCAER report are based on a comprehensive assessment of farm input prices and availability, monsoon...

Rajesh Chadha, Ayyapasore Govindan, Laxmi Joshi, V. P. Ahuja, Charu Jain, Shesadri Banerjee
Jan 2016
Evaluation Study of Targeted Public Distribution System in Selected States

Using primary survey data, this report assesses whether, and to what extent, the weaknesses noted by past evaluation studies on the TPDS have been adequately addressed by state governments. Six states viz., Assam, Bihar, Chhattisgarh, Karnataka, Uttar Pradesh and West Bengal are covered. Of these,...

Sohini Paul
Sep 2015
Agricultural Outlook and Situation Analysis Reports

The need for monitoring and analysis of emerging food scenarios is important for India both because of significant dependence of output on the monsoon rains and the fact that globally India is one of the major consumers of food crops influencing markets. Management of agriculture from a public...

Rajesh Chadha, Ayyapasore Govindan, Laxmi Joshi, V. P. Ahuja, Charu Jain, Shesadri Banerjee, Sameer Kumar Mondal
Sep 2015
The Indian Steel Industry: Key Reforms for a Brighter Future

With a nearly 2 per cent of share of GDP and 16 per cent of the industrial sector, a healthy steel sector is vital for the Indian economy. This NCAER study finds that though the steel industry in India does have considerable potential, it is currently constrained not just by the well-known...

Ramgopal Agarwala, Rajesh Chadha, Charu Jain, Jahnavi Prabhakar, Rohitash Chaudhary, S. Vijay Kumar
Sep 2015
Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Act: A Catalyst for Rural Transformation

Using unique data from the India Human Development Survey, a large, repeated, national household survey conducted by researchers from the NCAER and the University of Maryland before and after the implementation of MGNREGA, this report examines changes in the lives of rural households and in the...

Sonalde Desai, Prem S Vashishtha, Omkar Sharad Joshi
Aug 2015
Kerala Perspective Plan 2030

The Kerala Perspective Plan 2030 (KPP) prepared by NCAER for the Kerala State Board of Planning is a strategic path forward for Kerala to achieve economic and living standards equivalent to Nordic countries. KPP 2030 targets leapfrogging the high middle income threshold in the next 15 years and the...

Aradhna Aggarwal, Bornali Bhandari, Sohini Paul, Purna Chandra Parida, Devender Pratap
Jul 2015
Inflation Targeting for India?: The Implications of Limited Asset Market Participation

This paper analyzes whether liquidity constraints matter for optimal monetary policy choices in an open economy. Asset market participation is limited as some agents lack financial capacity and behave in a hand-to-mouth fashion. I evaluate consumer welfare using a micro-founded welfare criterion...

Tara Iyer
Jul 2015
A Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model for India

Over the last decade, the Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) framework has become a workhorse for macroeconomic analysis in both academic and policy circles. Following this emerging trend, we aim to expand our research capacity in macroeconomics at NCAER by introducing a baseline DSGE...

Shesadri Banerjee, Parantap Basu
May 2015
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